this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2025
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NASA doubles odds of Moon hitting near-Earth asteroid. (science.nasa.gov)
submitted 2 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 13 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Experts […] have updated 2024 YR4’s chance of impacting the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032 from 1.7% as of late February to 3.8% based on the Webb data and observations from ground-based telescopes.

So still a pretty small chance.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 weeks ago

Space is pretty big after all. The fact we're even at a human-readable percentage is unlikely to start with.