this post was submitted on 14 Mar 2025
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[–] [email protected] 42 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Before we get all doomer up in here (generally fair), I genuinely believe this is a smart play and exactly in line with Carneys stated plan. Carney does believe in the carbon tax as both a way to put money in most Canadians pockets and to reduce our emissions. He has said fullstop that the Carbon Tax was effective and good. He has said he wants to "cancel the carbon tax and replace it with a consumption pricing model" - which is effectively just rebranding the Carbon Tax. And he said so directly, that the carbon tax is effective but has become too political and is an unwinnable battle politically, but the core function should be maintained. Based on his public history I do believe he's an environmentalist, so I do trust he'll follow through with a replacement.

I think this is smart politically because the Carbon Tax and proximity to Trudeau is essentially PP's only play. In one shot Carney takes away the last of PP's cards, which may be enough to cement a lead for the coming election.

Admittedly this all hinges on him actually getting a replacement in, but based on his history of public statements for the past few years, I do believe he will. If he doesn't, feel free to come back next year or whatever and yell at me. For now, I'm huffing my hoping here.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Assuming he does follow through, I'll call this a very smart play.

A big problem progressives often have is understanding the value of branding. Sometimes the right play is basically to do the same thing but with a slightly different label on it. Or, in this case, a slightly different thing that basically does the same thing but comes without all the baggage.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 17 hours ago

Agreed. This is very contingent on the follow through, but it also makes sense. There's two scenarios:

  1. This helps him win the election or get a minority government. He immediately puts in a functionally equivalent replacement. Move worked.
  2. He loses the election and we get a Conservative majority. They would have immediately repealed the Carbon Tax, so it's irrelevant.

Let's see how it plays out.