this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2025
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The federal Liberals are making significant traction at the expense of Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives following Justin Trudeau’s resignation, according to the latest Nanos Research ballot tracking released Tuesday.

“We do this every week, (and) what’s clear is that Conservative support is now hemorrhaging to the Liberals,” said Nik Nanos, chief data scientist for Nanos Research, on the latest episode of CTV News Trend Line.

“If you remember back just before Justin Trudeau stepped down, the Conservatives had a whopping 27-point advantage,” he said. “(It) was like 47-20 for the federal Conservatives.”

“There’s probably a lot of Liberals in that group,” he said, “but what we’re seeing is a significant shift where now the ballot numbers are 38-30 between the federal Conservatives and the federal Liberals.”

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[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 week ago (2 children)

This is really going to start to snowball come March when Carney is picked as Liberal leader. He comes from a background of money management (governor of the Bank of Canada & England) and is well liked by both liberals and moderate conservatives.

I suspect that the liberals are going to pull up to a tie with the cons by the fall election, but we shall see.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I don't think we'll have to wait till fall for an election thanks to Jagmeet. Also, I really hope you're right (about the snowball effect caused by Carney). I'm really anxious about this just being another Kamala Harris effect...

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 week ago

I think Canada will learn from what happened in America and what's happening right now with Trump wanting to annex us. Polls say very few Canadians accept that ... so it should be enough to avoid the Harris effect.