Minneapolis - St. Paul Metro

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A community for leftists and progressives within the Minneapolis - St. Paul Metro Area, including all suburbs and exurbs.

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The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who’s right? (www.startribune.com)

submitted 2 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

The markets have pretty tightly correlated with polling based models.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 2 weeks ago

They have been historically. I think they may not going forward though. Mostly because now that it's "a thing" you're going to have a lot of people trying to screw around with it that don't mind losing money, which makes betting markets irrational