this post was submitted on 24 Oct 2024
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Drawn out insurgency is something that won't happen the way you are talking about it, Chechens have already tried.
Admittedly, it was harder to feel compassion to them for the general population outside of Chechnya, because those "revered freedom fighters" even in the years of their "almost independence" would have people lynched on the streets, do kidnappings and slavery and what not. They were similar to ISIS.
Our world is, ahem, very complex. Propaganda may be clearly insincere, but match the general direction of what the population knows and how it feels.
Getting back to Ukraine - I feel that Putin's goal is not occupying whole of Ukraine, it's making it subservient.
About him being largely fucked - I remember people in 2008 saying that the whole of the Russian regime are dumb thieves and are largely fucked. I wouldn't such things about people holding such amounts of power for so many years.