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My bet would be that it's to avoid influencing the election rather than riots.
Whichever sentence he gives, it has the potential to make him more likely to win, thereby undermining the sentence.
Personally, I'd like to see justice happen in a way that can be blind to that outside context, but we don't live in that world.
I don't like it, but I get it.
He's already been found guilty and nobody seems to care one way or the other. What's sentencing going to change?
A prison sentence looks way more like political suppression than just "guilty but still speaking publicly".
Still don't think it was the right thing to do, but I can see why a judge who has otherwise seemed same and nonpartisan would be inclined to make that choice.
"Don't punish political candidates like normal people" is a shitty reason to avoid justice.
Well, I don't think anyone was saying don't punish political candidates, least of all me.
Being cognizant of a political context for an action just doesn't seem unreasonable to me, even if it's not how I think it should have played out.
Whatever sentence is given will have an impact on the political landscape in which that sentence is carried out, which can potentially directly undermine the sentence.