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Conservative Party Experiences Largest Decline Since Pierre Poilievre Assumed Leadership
(www.ekospolitics.com)
this post was submitted on 21 Aug 2024
215 points (98.2% liked)
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Polling is essentially meaningless until an election is called, and given none of the parties are making policy promises at this point it is more of a state of sentiment about the current government.
I really hope that whoever gets elected this next election that they only get a minority so there is at least some chance of ensuring they don't do anything too extreme.
That’s not entirely true
Polls still predict how people will behave, but there is a lot of room for events to happen.
If you properly weight your polls with probability of outcomes, it’s useful. That’s not easy though.