this post was submitted on 05 Feb 2024
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Taiwan could develop nukes on their own, if necessary. They had a secret nuclear weapons program until the late 1980s:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction

They are in the same club as countries like Japan, South Korea, Germany, Italy, etc. - highly developed nations that are fully capable of developing nuclear weapons, but chose not to (or were forced not to).

[–] [email protected] 0 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I think if they started working towards it, China would feel forced to step up their reunification efforts. If a nuclear deterrent is going to be a viable path back to a stable status quo, it will have to be a fait accompli with external help.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I could imagine a return to what Taiwan had until the early '70s, American tactical nuclear bombs stored on the island, in a similar nuclear sharing arrangement like several European nations that don't have nuclear weapons of their own, but train pilots to drop them.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 9 months ago (1 children)

It would have to be done very carefully and quickly, so that there is no chance for brinkmanship.