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Bernie would have won... (lemmy.world)

submitted 5 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

Polling showed Bernie doing better vr trump.

Polling consistently showed Clinton doing better than Trump too. Before election night, odds from the best polling experts around put Trump at around a 20% chance of winning. In fact, before the Comey report, it was more like 95% that Clinton would win.

The problem is that people think odds are destiny. Yes, the odds-on favorite does usually win. But not always.