this post was submitted on 18 Apr 2024
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You say that like the current models are the end of the line but understanding why film making techniques are used isn't impossible even just for a llm based system. Designing new styles isn't out of reach for ai either, sure you can God of the gaps it and say there's a mysterious sliver of soul required but practically it'll be able to be every bit as original as any human, probably more so as it has more knowledge to work from.
I know it's desirable to hate on ai because it's scary or popular but nailing your colors to the argument that it'll never be able to do certain things is already an exhausting game of moving that goalpost every time a new model emerges and that's only going to continue.
It'll be so "original" that it makes no sense, evokes no emotion, and goes nowhere.
And if the goalpost is a decent movie, then the goalpost hasn't moved at all. AI is just impossibly far away.
Perhaps most importantly does humanity actually want to build bigger and bigger supercomputers using more and more electricity/resources just so some AI can make a crappy action movie? What a waste.
It's not really about the ai making a complete movie though it's about emerging tools allowing creators to make their vision.
But yes they'll be making complete movies every bit as enjoyable as marvel sooner than you can imagine. And movies with emotion and message that speak to people on deep levels, that's really not as hard as you might want to think.
And yes we do, making movies is just an easy to play with toy the real work is going to understand these tools so we can use them to do things like generative design of 3d printable items to set metrics so you can just say 'my dishwasher broke' and it'll look at the photo, analyze the problem, design a replacement and offer fabrication options. That's the sort of thing this leads to, being able to have repairable and upgradable hardware, being able to customize your life and live better for cheaper.
It's a world where the impoverished that used to toil in sweatshops so we could have cheap clothes can get world class education in their first language with questions answered and conceps demonstrated using examples they can understand and with clear and well constructed visual aids. Allowing them to create the things they need to improve their lives and recreate the local sustainability we tore from them.
If this allows someone with a fascinating life story and perspective to express themselves and create their vision then it's a great thing, I'm looking forward to seeing random movies from obscure areas of the world and I won't miss corporate and polished made by the numbers Hollywood the slightest bit.
Sure it's pretty far away, but it's also moving at break neck speed. Last year low-res spaghetti-eating Will Smith body horror was the pinnacle of ai generated video, today we're already generating videos that take at least a second look to determine that it was AI generated. The big question is at what point that improvement rate will start to level off.