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Ironically you’d get paid less money for working in Tx or FL. Most companies I know scale worker pay to cost of living in different areas. A job in Silicon Valley might pay 30% more than the same job in Austin. I think a lot of people anticipated a brain drain from these red states as they pass more and more restrictive legislation.
Especially when you’re talking places like tech companies and academia, you’re going to find overall that the employees skew left. They’re going to be among the first to go. Similarly, people in medicine who might be directly impacted by these idiotic laws will have both the motivation and the incentive to move.
There’s a couple of factors at play. First, there’s a lot of logistics and inertia involved. Even if they don’t have family in the area, there’s a ton of planning. Some of it you can sort of just through money at, but other things like kids and school take a bit more planning. Second, this is a tough time in the market for tech and for housing. People are going to be more financially conservative as a result. Also, at least some of the most egregious laws have been modified or stated by the courts.
So it’s not going to look like Dunkirk or the fall of Saigon, but I bet we will be able to tell in about five years that there was a demographic effect.