The monkey's typing and generating Shakespeare is supposed to show the ridiculousness of the concept of infinity. It does not mean it would happen in years, or millions of years, or billions, or trillions, or... So unless the "AI" can move outside the flow of time and take an infinite amount of time and also then has a human or other actual intelligence to review every single result to verify when it comes up with the right one...yeah, not real...this is what happens when we give power to people with no understanding of the problem much less how to solve it. They come up with random ideas from random slivers of information. Maybe in an infinite amount of time a million CEOs could make a longterm profitable company.
this post was submitted on 08 Dec 2024
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I had a bunch of roofers hammering nails in with hammers.
I bought a bunch of nail guns and then fired all the roofers. Now less roofing is being done! It is the end to the Era of nail guns! Everyone should just go back to hammers.
Oh no.
We're hitting the end of free/cheap innovation. We can't just make a one-time adjustment to training and make a permanent and substantially better product.
What's coming now are conventionally developed applications using LLM tech. o1 is trying to fact-check itself and use better sources.
I'm pretty happy it's slowing down right at this point.
I'd like to see non-profit open systems for education. Let's feed these things textbooks and lectures. Model the teaching after some of our best minds. Give individuals 1:1 time with a system 24x7 that they can just ask whatever they want and as often as they want and have it keep track of what they know and teach them the things that they need to advance. .
I mean isn't it already that is included in the datasets? It's pretty much a mix of everything.
Not everything in the dataset is retrievable. It's very lossy. It's also extremely noisy with a lot of training data that's not education-worthy.
I suspect they'd make a purpose-built model trained mainly on what they actually would want to teach especially from good educators.
That's the job I need. I've spent my whole live trying to be Data from Star Trek. I'm ready to try to mentor and befriend a computer.
Amazing idea, holy moly.
People writing off AI because it isn’t fully replacing humans. Sounds like writing off calculators because they can’t work without human input.
Used correctly and in the right context, it can still significantly increase productivity.
No, this is the equivalent of writing off calculators if they required as much power as a city block. There are some applications for LLMs, but if they cost this much power, they're doing far more harm than good.
Imagine if the engineers for computers were just as short sighted. If they had stopped prioritizing development when computers were massive, room sized machines with limited computing power and obscenely inefficient.
Not all AI development is focused on increasing complexity. Much is focused on refinement, and increasing efficiency. And there’s been a ton of progress in this area.
This article and discussion is specifically about massively upscaling LLMs. Go follow the links and read OpenAI's CEO literally proposing data centers which require multiple, dedicated grid-scale nuclear reactors.
I'm not sure what your definition of optimization and efficiency is, but that sure as heck does not fit mine.
Sounds like you’re only reading a certain narrative then. There’s plenty of articles about increasing efficiency, too.
Except it has gotten progressively worse as a product due to misuse, corporate censorship of the engine and the dataset feeding itself.
Yeah, the leash they put it on to keep it friendly towards capitalists is the biggest thing holding it back right now.
'Jesse, what the fuck are you talking about'.jpg
"In OpenAI’s early tests, scaling o1 showed diminishing returns: Linear improvements on a challenging math exam required exponentially growing computing power."
Sounds like most other drugs, too.
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