this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2024
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(page 3) 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 11 points 22 hours ago

Of course it'll crash. Saying it's imminent though suggests someone needs to exercise their shorts.

[–] [email protected] 32 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Well duhhhh.
Language models are insufficient.
They also need:

[–] [email protected] 2 points 22 hours ago (3 children)

Someone in here has once linked me a scientific article about how today's "AI" are basically one level below what they need to be anything like an AI. A bit like the difference between exponent and Ackermann function, but I really forgot what that was all about.

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[–] [email protected] 48 points 1 day ago
[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago

supermicro's accountants have just resigned 🤭

[–] [email protected] -3 points 1 day ago

I believe this about as much as I believed the "We're about to experience the AI singularity" morons.

[–] [email protected] 60 points 1 day ago (4 children)

largely based on the notion that LLMs will, with continued scaling, become artificial general intelligence

Who said that LLMs were going to become AGI? LLMs as part of an AGI system makes sense but not LLMs alone becoming AGI. Only articles and blog posts from people who didn't understand the technology were making those claims. Which helped feed the hype.

I 100% agree that we're going to see an AI market correction. It's going to take a lot of hard human work to achieve the real value of LLMs. The hype is distracting from the real valuable and interesting work.

[–] [email protected] 25 points 21 hours ago (2 children)

OpenAI published a paper about GPT titled "Sparks of AGI".

I don't think they really believe it but it's good to bring in VC money

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[–] [email protected] 26 points 23 hours ago

Journalists have no clue what AI even is. Nearly every article about AI is written by somebody who couldn't tell you the difference between an LLM and an AGI, and should be dismissed as spam.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The call is coming from inside. Google CEO claims it will be like alien intelligence so we should just trust it to make political decisions for us bro: https://www.computing.co.uk/news/2024/ai/former-google-ceo-eric-schmidt-urges-ai-acceleration-dismisses-climate

[–] [email protected] 3 points 22 hours ago

Do you have a non paywalled link? And is that quote in relation to LLMs specifically or AI generally?

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

The tech priests of Mars were right; death to abominable intelligence.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago

That's a Space Grudgin'

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 day ago

It's gonna crash like a self driving tesla. It's gonna fall apart like a cybertrukkk.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 day ago

Even Pied Piper didn’t scale.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Ya AI was never going to be it. But I wouldn’t understate its impact even in its current stage. I think it’ll be a tool that will be incredibly useful for just about every industry

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 day ago

Apparently, there was only so much IP to steal

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 day ago (5 children)

Seems to me the rationale is flawed. Even if it isn't strong or general AI, LLM based AI has found a lot of uses. I also don't recognize the claimed ignorance among people working with it, about the limitations of current AI models.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 day ago (1 children)

while you may be right, one would think that the problem lies in the overestimated peception of the abilities of llms leading to misplaced investor confidence -- which in turn leads to a bubble ready to burst.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 day ago

Yup. Investors have convinced themselves that this time AI development is going to grow exponentially. The breathless fantasies they’ve concocted for themselves require it. They’re going to be disappointed.

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