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because 30% is an impossible amount to spend on housing anyway. If rent costs 50% of your income, then "only" spending 40% of your income on a mortgage payment is a massive step up. You're also quite a bit less likely to have your mortgage payment suddenly increase year after year in the way that rent hikes, so getting into a slightly expensive mortgage early can pay dividends later if your wages increase annually.
People have been buying beyond their means since the '70s
Yes, because if they don't then somebody else will and they won't have anywhere to live.
That's how shortages of essential commodities work. Build more homes where people want to live and ensure businesses don't buy them for renting.
We don't have an issue that there aren't enough houses. We have more than enough houses. The issue is that they're not being utilized primarily because they're just being bought up for value by corporations.
I keep seeing that but I don't buy it. There are corporation owned homes and there are empty homes, but I don't think they're the same homes.
I'm struggling to think of any logical way that you could make more money buying a property and leaving it empty on purpose while watching the value go up, than you would by doing the exact same thing while collecting a colossal monthly rent.
Most "empty" homes that don't have the roof caved in or boarded up windows in suburban slums are holiday homes and air BnB type things.
I mean, if an entrepeneur owns a significant portion of the available houses in a region then they can chose to only keep the as few on the market at a time as possible to force the prices to stay high, they might even work with their other housing entrepreneur buddies to have them do the same thing so that all the housing entrepreneurs in the region can win big.
So a re-run of 2006-2007, but this time around there wasn't even an actual boom preceeding this.
I’m in the US. House values in my neighborhood have doubled since 2017 (7 years). Things are the same where the rest of my family lives, 11 states away. Are we not in a boom?
No this is another housing bubble, similar to what happened back in 2010. My house is now worth more than double what I paid for it, which is more than it was at the peak of the housing bubble right before it crashed back in 2010.
But biggest difference this time around is the bubble has been intentionally accelerated by a handful of investment firms that have been buying up all the houses across the US for the past decade.
The Economy is not booming, it's only the prices of Assets such as houses that are in a bubble.
Last time around the "wealth" (even if illusory) was spreading a lot more and causing all sorts of things to grow by feeding consumption, as well as a general feeling of prosperity (until it turned out it was illusory and the whole castle of cards fell) whilst this time around it's pretty much only large asset owners who are actually gaining from this whilst the rest just increasingly feel poorer and more treading water ever harder merelly not to drown.
It's a different Economic climate and even a different feeling for most people, even if both periods share the house price bubble.
PS: And, by the way, this is not just in the US.
Where I am, one would need to be making $29.70/hr (working 40 hours a week) to afford to only be paying 30% of their income on housing, and there aren't many actual slums left. State minimum wage is $14/hr. Federal is $7.25/hr. The cheapest bottle of alcohol and a thin rag costs $12.95, though you can save a quarter if you rip your shirt into strips instead of using rags.
Buckle up, here we go again!
Because renting a home that's barely enough to get by is even more expensive and will go up faster than inflation, so if you're lucky you buy a house that's barely enough to get by and wait for the day when it's finally affordable since the payments don't increase as much as inflation.
Yeah but repairs don’t get taken care of by a landlord. When you buy a home, you have even less monthly funds available for mortgage because you also need to be saving a little for the big repair things that come up.
Renting allows those repair expenses to be handled by the landlord rather than the tenant. Renting is not inherently a worse decision than buying, there are pros and cons to both.
I own a small house that is 118 years old with plenty of issues, and the amount I put into repairs and maintenance is nowhere near the difference in what it would cost to rent a similar sized home in my neighborhood compared to my mortgage, taxes, and insurance. That includes a major sewage issue that required digging up and replacing the old clay pipes, something I couldn't do myself.
And I've only owned it for 3 years, so I haven't even gotten to a point where inflation has increased rent over the mortgage payments yet, mosly because the rental market is insane in most cities due to short-term rentals and offshore investors leaving lots of properties off the market, so landlords can charge way higher rents with so little competition. In 10 years, assuming there's not a market crash, I'll be way better off.
Renting only saves repair cost in the short term, spreading out those costs across time, because otherwise there wouldn't be profit in renting.
It all sounds good until your mortgage increases by 25% in one year due to increasing property taxes and insurance.
But the same happens to the rental owner, and trust me, they pass that increase on to the renters. So it's still better than that.
That's because to get the actual value of a home in 2024 you have to cut its price in half.
At least you roughly lock in a monthly rate. I was happy to not have 15% rent increases each year.
This is the real explanation. There is no more choice to rent a cheap apartment or buy an expensive house. You can live in a van maybe but that's being outlawed in many states. My brother in law and his family are paying almost $2000/month for a shitty apartment built in the 1970s. I bet the same place will be $4000 in 10 years, and even shittier.
Around me it’s half the price monthly to rent than it is to buy. Probably even less when you factor in maintenance costs. But, every one has this idea that they NEED to buy a house. I think when people stop analyzing the numbers and just start doing things because everyone is doing it, it’s a sign we’re in some sort of bubble.