Am I crazy or are they going to run out of tanks in like 50 days? For what I have heard they only have 700 left in bad shape (to be refurbished with difficulty) the rest is worse? Not counting the handful of brand new ones per month.

Maybe he's betting on a trump victory and whatever shenanigans that might bring?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

They had 700 tanks in decent shape in storage in about July. However tanks will be in factories being refurbished and obviously a lot more tanks are on the front line. That are very likely a few thousand tanks.

So they probably will start to have problems replacing losses soonish. They might buy some from North Korea or Iran though.

Even a Trump victory would not mean an end of the fighting though. Europe is supplying more weapons then the US and Ukraine also has arms production. So no overruning Ukraine.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago

Well that was what I thought too until I saw a very nice write-up by covert cabal on youtube, they basically surver all tank stocks in russia since years, and now there are, according to them, no good ones left (so easy to refurbish) only 700 in bad shape and the rest is literally rusty carcasses.

Just putting that out here, I'm just an armchair general ofc.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Am I crazy

Chances are probably higher that Putin is crazy.
But trying to rationalize this, it's probably Putin trying to show strength up to the American presidential election, supporting Trumps claim that it's foolish to help Ukraine. After the election we will also have entered winter season, where Russia will try to rebuild.

~~Last I heard 1 maybe 2 months ago they were estimated to have 3000 tanks. But I hope you are right, and they are running out.~~

Edit:
Apparently they STARTED with about 3000, and by March this year some estimated they had 1300, so about 700 now could be true.

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-firepower-war-losses-casualties-ukraine-1880852

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Strange with the 0 vehicles and fuel tanks. But I checked ministry of defense, and that is the number they post for today:
https://www.mil.gov.ua/en/news/2024/09/28/the-estimated-combat-losses-of-russians-over-the-last-day-1470-persons-62-uavs-and-55-artillery-systems/

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago (2 children)

I think they probably ment to put special equipment's "99" under vehicles and fuel tanks. Otherwise, they would have destroyed 3% of the total destroyed special equipment.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I don't understand, would you please explain?

Also 99 is enormous!

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The average number for special equipment i about 3, so having a day with 99 is extremely unlikely even on a "busy" day.
The average number for vehicles and fuel tanks however is about 25, but numbers above 50 are not that rare. So 99 for that number is way more likely than zero.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago

Okay, thanks!

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago

Yes that's probably it, I was just thinking it was the person making the graphics that made a mistake. And didn't really look further.