Let's cross fingers so that the two sides of the French left compromise on taking the good side on Ukraine, and the good side on Gaza, and not the other way around 🤞
this post was submitted on 14 Jun 2024
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Neoliberalism is not sustainable.
At the rate we're going centrism may not be sustainable
Sorry, but Les Républicains are not "center-right", they are definitely very-right, they campaign on the same topics than the extreme-right and share a lot of points in their programs.
The new Front Populaire regroups a fairly wide variety of parties, from the the far left revolutionary communists like NPA, radical left with PCF and LFI, until the center like Les Socialistes (social Democrats) and Ecologists. Last Sunday, they were divided and dragging each other in the mud, today they have 1) signed to campaign as one, 2) decided the candidates for each county, 3) agreed on a very detailed common program for the next 2~3 years.
The vote takes place on 30th of June, therefore the political landscape of France will continue to shift frenetically for the next 2 weeks at least.
What the fuck, the left is actually the most united part of the political scene? What kind of world are we living in
It's extremely reminiscent of the French political landscape in the 30's when all the left wing parties united themselves as the Popular Front against the rising fascist leagues.
This netted us - amongst other things - the 40h work week, paid vacations, etc.
It is surprising everyone, including left voters. I don't think Macron considered this outcome seriously when he made his play to dismiss the national parliament. Most likely he was counting on the "Republican blockade" (it's kind of a tradition at this point) to draw all the center to his cause (this would have included, Green, Socialists and the traditional right of Republicans).
Instead, Les Republicains instantly imploded when their leader Eric Ciotti declared we wants to ally with the RN (leading extreme-right party), he got unanimously banned from his party. Another extreme-right party, Reconquête also failed to rally to RN (this is another crazy story, mixing family relations and betrayal). And the left in the most broad sense, is as united as ever, in a unions that seems much more serious and solid than precious failed attempts, giving (my feeling) a lot of hope for voters attached to democracy and justice.
In a nutshell there are 3 possible outcomes we can summarize in Macron's perspective:
- Republican blockage: Macron gets again majority in the assembly, he is reaffirmed as the legitimate leader of the country and he can continue the same government and policies. **Macron wins **
- Rassemblement National (RN) wins the parliament: Macron is the last standing defense against fascism in France, he will use his powers to veto and block the policies of RN, use this as an opportunity to display RN as incapable of governing, putting him and his party in a favorable position for the next presidential elections in 2027. Macron wins
- Le Partie Populaire wins the parliament: Macron cannot govern, he will use his powers to block the policies of the left, these measures are in large part about reversing the unpopular policies he passed in the passed 5 years (often without vote: 49-3), this will discredit him and his party. Macron looses
An age of rising fascism...
Yep, in a lot of countries. In France, the fascists has been stopped by the union of left parties, and the union of trades unions, and lead to the most social progress we still rely on (the first paid holidays for example). If we shall not thing that history repeat itself, this period have a big particularity that is not enough told : those social progress where not planned by the political parties, and the reunification of trades unions (like CGT and CGT-U) where not at the initiative of their leaders. Workers took the street and very offensive strike forced them off. Their sure is a lack of initiative of the workers, I think that's why we fail during the retirement movement; and If trade Unions sure have a place, I'm not sure that it's next to political parties in these "Nouvel Union Populaire".
Unity of the left is a double edged sword. Sure it means increased bargaining power for change. Also, it usually deteriorates into a hostage situation where the most centrist "left" party in the coalition says they will cooperate with the fascists, if the other left parties do not reduce their call for change to just symbolic issues.
So Macron's move for new elections worked out so far?
I remember working in France right after Trump got elected. So many ppl told us how bizarre our politics were and what a joke it was.
That didn't age very well
A common saying in France is that we are 5 years behind the USA.
Still very far from US shitshow. I mean Trump could be back what the actual fuck
Saw the headline and thought, “this is what the US has to look forward to this year.” We love to one-up everyone else. Oh god.
These guys have like five political parties duking it out, I wish this is what America had to look forward to. It would be a step up from two-party FPTP.
I don’t know, this sounds pretty crazy, whereas US is only two sided. I don’t know any details besides this article but the imagine in the US, the differences are starker, the consequences more dire, for both us and the rest of the world (I apologize if it seems like exceptionalism, but this really is a situation with global consequnces both now and the future)
In America, the coalitions are created before the election based on party. "Republicans" and "Democrats" need to be thought of as right and left wing coalitions.
“Republicans” and “Democrats” need to be thought of as far right and ~~left wing~~ center-right coalitions.