this post was submitted on 02 Mar 2025
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We might be living through an equivalent of the industrial revolution here.
I don't think so. Until we get actual intelligence (called AGI now) and Fusion power we won't have a second industrial revolution. Because once the power issue is solved, we only have a resource problem. We'll see an explosion of industry if humanity can achieve fusion.
AGI isn't real, it's largely a buzzword without a rigorous definition. We will continue to gradually improve the quality of artificially intelligent systems as we improve the hardware and make more progress in understanding intelligence, but there will not be some turning point where there is a sudden explosion in progress from AI when we cross some non-existent AGI threshold. It will just continue to gradually improve over time.
I'm not talking about it coming from current LLM slop. I mean an actual system that is completely new.