this post was submitted on 12 Nov 2024
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Unlike to end well for whom? What a scummy article, it basically calls for 4th reich, fearmongering with Russia, China, Iran. If USA fucks off, the entire reason while EU is hostile to those countries disappears in the first place. Author probably don't even believe USA will fuck off, and he's correct in that, but still use the classic boogeyman to scare people in EU to fork even more cash for MIC. How convenient it is to write prophecies backwards.
Unlikely to end well for the current Atlanticist political establishment that sucks on the US teat in order to exist. The whole article is basically preparing the public for the austerity that's going to come in order to ramp up military spending. All that said, I do think that the US will leave Europe to hang as it shifts focus on Asia. This was gonna happen regardless of who won, but it will be happening much more in the open under Trump.
What it comes down to is that the US has finite resources and the oligarchs see China as a bigger threat than Russia. Chinese companies are now directly competing with US companies, and China is starting to dominate a lot of markets like EVs, telecom infrastructure, renewable energy production, and so on. This is one reason the tech oligarchs largely went over to republicans now.
I don't think numbers on a computer matter all that much though. US can issue as much currency as it likes, but it's the material reality that matters in the end. In order to prop up Europe, US needs to produce weapons to send there, same with Israel, and Taiwan. US manufacturing capacity is pretty limited at this point, so they have to pick where to allocate the resources.
Meanwhile, Europe has major problems with its energy supply, and so far the US has been profiteering from selling LNG to Europe at high prices, and poaching European industry. So, we can already see that the whole relationship is turning predatory. This will only get worse going forward. Ultimately, people living in Europe don't give a shit about stuff like AI, crypto, and so on. They care about being able to feed themselves and keep lights on.
There's a famous Lenin quote saying that every society is three hot meals away from chaos, and I think there's a lot of truth in that.