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In all the countries that support Ukraine, the incumbent/ruling party lost votes in the most recent election.
(lemmygrad.ml)
this post was submitted on 09 Nov 2024
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Turkey might be able to get some deals because they're in a good bargaining position, but their relations with EU are increasingly cooling. So, I expect they're just going to continue to play both sides between G7 and BRICS since they're in a strategic geographic position.
With regards to US support for Ukraine, my expectation is that they now realize the project has run its course, and they are going to start focusing on West Asia and China. Europe will be left holding the bag on this. If dems won, then they probably would've stayed committed through 2025, but there's very little chance Trump admin will be interested in doing that.
This is true. I just wonder if some sort of bidding war there will start. America starts throwing money and China starts offering infrastructure, an educated workforce, etc. Curious to see if Turkey will ever pick a side. I mean, they are in an amazing spot and I can imagine either side throwing the gauntlet down. Or maybe they'd just prefer Turkey in this position. Either or could work depending on what changes in the next year.
I could see that too. I could also see MIC ghouls convincing Trump to "step it down a bit" instead of completely abandoning it under the guise of "well there is still equipment left there and Biden did something similar in Afghanistan" and avoid active interference like the Biden administration and sitting on the periphery while Ukraine fights with what it has left.
America likes to do long-hauls even at complete expense of foreign and domestic opinion. So I'm genuinely curious if this war will actually end now or if it will just sputter out over time.
They definitely are gonna start focusing on China. With full Republican control I'm genuinely curious to see if they're more or less gonna go full hawk considering the last administration.
I think Turkey might be forced to pick a side because the west traditionally can't cope with countries being neutral. I expect Turkey will end up in BRICS in the end however.
Meanwhile, the US can try to step it down, but the reality is that the AFU is already collapsing with the current level of support. The US is basically the only country that's actually capable of providing any meaningful support as well. If that starts drying up then the collapse will accelerate. Even with the current level of support, the real issue as even western media now admits is manpower. It doesn't matter how many weapons make it to Ukraine if there's nobody left to use them.
It's very important to understand that Russia is fighting a war of attrition. The goal is to grind down the AFU until it implodes. There is nothing the west can do to stop that short of NATO putting boots on the ground. I can't really see that happening.
We have grazed the lathe; wasn't fully right. Should have expected Zionazis on the bingo.