this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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People didn't feel like voting for Kamala, so instead of voting for Trump they stayed home.
Ideally, stats by categories would be more useful to draw a conclusion, but at first sight it doesn't seem so though :
It says those are expected vote totals for states where less than 97 percent of the vote has been counted. Trump is gonna end up with some 73.000.000 votes, while Kamala has 68.000.000 right now, Biden received 81.200.000 in 2020. That's 14 million fewer votes overall than in 2020. That sounds to me like a lot of Dem voters didn't show up.
We may have understood it the same way, yet just to be sure : The turnout is counted normally, except for states where less than 97% of the votes are counted, in which case the reported turnout has been replaced by the expected turnout.
You're right, if they didn't voted for third parties, if the votes are mostly counted, if the voter turnout is the same, and if republicans didn't received more votes than in 2020, then where did these 14M votes went ?
Thanks for confirming that i'm missing something, don't know if you or someone here have the explanation.
Well, they haven't counted all the votes yet, but it seems that 158.000.000 total votes were cast according to an analyst from UFL, who gets info from the bureau of elections or whatever. If Trump has 73M and Kamala has 68M votes, some 2.4M have voted third party. I guess that means there are still some 14.5 million votes to be counted.
Which seems like a lot, doesn't it? I don't know what's going on, perhaps we're making some error somewhere.
And if they don't have the same source, it confirms the WaPo's 65% with its 64.52%(, in the VEP_TURNOUT_RATE column)
Yeah, you're right, it's too obvious, anyone can do 72.6M+68M+2.2M and easily see that it's only ~143M out of 158.5, so we're indeed making an obvious mistake somewhere. They're probably simply not counted yet, as you said(, California is slow here).
"RESUME THE COUNT!" - blue MAGA probably
If they were votes for third parties, then they would have shown up by now.