this post was submitted on 16 Feb 2024
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Russia desperately needs another revolution.
I don't know how you are proficient in russian history, but we have a thing called гонка на лафетах. At some point soviet administration grew that old they all died off in a decade, without coming up with a next gen of rulers. I feel like in a coming decade there would be a lot of funerals and the new chaotic 90s for Russia, Iran, that would be very painful for these nations, but it'd be another chance to start it right, at least as a lib democracy. People say I'm too dumb and optimistic, but there's still no successor to Putin and he's born in 1952, and the clocks are ticking. He and his friends are just to afraid to lose their place so they don't bother with that, meaning it would be a complete hell when they'd die one by one.
The thing with Russia in particular is that people seem to overlook the fact that it's decades behind its western neighbors in terms of societal and political development, which has been the case for centuries.
Having spoken to multitudes of people outside and within Russia, I do believe that the gap has shrunk rather significantly in the last 40 years or so. Despite the attempts of rapidly aging and increasingly more delusional people that currently comprise the Russian government, this gap seems to be shrinking further still - to some degree, thanks to the same people fueling the country's desire for change.
So I don't think you're being too optimistic or naive. I think you're being very observant and keen-eyed. In fact, I'd go as far as to say you're being a bit too pessimistic thinking that we're going to face another decade like 90s, for two reasons: