this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2024
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The current betting odds aggregations have trump at 58%, harris at 41%
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
Well that's disheartening. Can't believe that many people prefer a racist con man to a competent woman.
Betting markets don't really have any predictive value. It's all vibes.
This page has some background, but historically they've always beat polling and any other prediction algorithms as long as they've been around.