this post was submitted on 26 Aug 2024
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Any word on the Belarus "army exercises"? Looks like Wagner got recalled from Africa to march around Ukraine's northern border.
Lukashenko is a lot of things, but he is not a fool. Using Belorussian troops to go into Ukraine, would allow Ukraine to use their Belorussians to invade Belarus. Luka likes his job of being Putins trolling henchmen.
That is the most likely case, but IF Ukraine doesn't have enough defense on the border he might attack for Putin. It is a risk, but if he takes and hold Kiev it is a win. He might just be insane enough to attempt that, so Ukraine must figure out how to defend and that diverts troops (which is what Russia wants)