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Front in Kursk region: threat of long-term defeat for Ukraine (www.spiegel.de)

submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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The offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region, according to German military experts, could lead to long-term failures for Ukraine.
Short-term successes may turn into defeats , since the expansion of the front is beneficial to Russia, which has greater resources.
It is unlikely that Ukraine will be able to hold the positions it has gained due to logistical difficulties and a shortage of infantry. And Kiev’s hopes for the withdrawal of Russian troops from Donbas are unlikely, which makes the current operation very risky.

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[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

This counter-offensive looks like a last-ditch, long-odds gamble to try and flip the script somehow. It makes sense for Ukraine because:

If they stay the course, they lose;
The only other game changing strategy -- turning this into a broader regional war with other countries attacking Russia -- was tried and has failed; and
They can't negotiate with Russia due to fascists in their ranks and the veto power their NATO allies wield.

It's throwing up a desperation shot from the other side of the floor at the end of a basketball game. Of course it didn't work, but of course they tried it.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 month ago

That's my read as well, and also there's a factor that they're under constant pressure to show results to their sponsors being a proxy. With Russia advancing all over the front now, and western attention being increasingly diverted to West Asia, Ukraine needs to be seen doing something that will draw attention back to them.