this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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Ukraine

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https://t.me/pravdaGerashchenko_en/33920

"As of today, 28 settlements are under enemy control, the depth of penetration into the territory of the Kursk region is 12 kilometers, and the front's width is 40 kilometers" - Kursk region acting governor told Putin. Putin interrupted him and said not to mention numbers.

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[โ€“] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Nothing good will come of this.

At best this is a risky incursion which the Russian people will forget about in the coming weeks, that's if the Russian propaganda machine hasn't already spun it in their favour.

We seem to forget that making Putin look bad is a fool's errand when we're talking about a country where the state controls the media and where dissenters are either locked away in a remote gulag, or punted off a third-storey window in a way to vaguely look like suicide.

And at worst... this could lead to an escalation...

The closest we've had to a decisive blow against Russia was Prigozhin's revolt.

[โ€“] [email protected] 0 points 2 months ago

You're assuming that the goal is to shock Russians. Other possible goals are:

  1. Force Russia into a "dilemma" where it has to stop the offensive in Donetsk to deal with the attack
  2. Strike targets deeper in Russia
  3. Cause economic strain for Russia by capturing/disabling key infrastructure like the Kursk powerplant
  4. Flank Russian forces in Luhansk
  5. Capture and hold Russian land to use as a bargaining chip
  6. Humiliate Putin

Which of these goals are the reasons for this incursion are unknown outside of Ukraine's command structure.