this post was submitted on 08 Aug 2024
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I know that was floated for Francorchamps when the previous contract was ending as a compromise for paying less. Liberty acts like robbers in their negotiations: pay up or lose your spot.
Iirc the average amount to organize an F1 grand prix was around 40 million dollars. Any organization paying less is at risk, basically.
Edit: here it is broken down with a list of how much each venue pays (from 2 years ago, but it gives a good idea): https://formulapedia.com/cost-to-host-f1-race/
The rumors article calls out 5 tracks with expiring 2025 contracts likely to enter rotation: Imola, Monaco, Spa, Zandvoort and Monza. And your finances article seems to support your theory regarding these tracks. And we know liberty won't touch a US race, that's been their main expansion goal.
I don't think it's far fetched to see monza or spa rotate with these new tracks in discussion.