this post was submitted on 31 Jan 2024
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[–] [email protected] 0 points 9 months ago

Doing some silly napkin maths:

Argentinian population is 46 million.

On the 24th they had "tens of thousands". Assuming this can be anywhere from 20 thousand to 90 thousand, we have two bounds on the protest growth rate, assuming it's linear (of course it's not, but bear with me).

growth1 = (1.5 - 0.02) / 7 = 0.21
growth2 = (1.5 - 0.09) / 7 = 0.20

Those numbers are in millions per day. Now, 3.5% of 46 million is 1.61 million. Regardless of chosen bound, they'll cross that threshold in one day. Now assuming that the 3.5% rule is true (it's not, still bear with me), we can "obviously" infer that:

Milei is getting toppled tomorrow.