Bluff has been called. They'd be stupid to nuke an upwind country they want to conquer anyways.
this post was submitted on 21 Nov 2024
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Escalation was demonstrated. No it’s not escalation all the way, but this is an escalation in response to an escalation.
Perhaps the size of the response escalation, as compared to a declared or assumed promised response escalation, implies some kind of “bluff” was detected. Like maybe Russia said it’d spend 4 escalation points and instead only spent 2 escalation points, but the relative size doesn’t change the fact escalation just occurred. That’s a bad thing.
you say "test" I hear "stock problems"
Plus the "Russia launches ICBM!!!" headline potential.
They pull 70 years old tanks out of storage all the time, they have used rare nuke-safe tanks on the battlefield, they have to beg North Korea (!) for help and more.
This just screams stock and command problems.
They are losing so they are getting desperate and thus does tries stupid things.
Armchair General Valmond.
Naïve take.
Silly Russians don't even know what continents are lol.
They misclicked the order and accidentally got INTRA Continental ones
Never buy from Temu
What Russia wants us to think:
"O no, allowing Ukraine to fire atacms into Russia was to much escalation! We must back down!"
What we actually think:
"Russia ran out of missiles and has to reach deep down its soviet arsenal to fire the last thing it's got. Next, they'll fire an R7"
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