We have till January next year before a full scale war in the middle east. Till then Israel will continue with genocide and it's belligerence. And other countries will keep on posing.
this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2024
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It won't be war. It will be a series of small scale incursions. The word 'war' is bad for business.
Not for the millitary industrial complex. It will just b another proxy war like the one in Ukraine.
As is shown by history, USA will not send troops to there is an attack on its soil. Though it will support both the sides if possible.
Desert Storm, Korea, Vietnam all seem to disagree with what I understand that second point to be. US will send troops if it is politically expedient.
Desert Storm was instigqted by the probability of having costlier oil if the war spreads to other oil producing countries. Plus it did hurt US by having oil rations and costly oil.
Having said that I would agree that Korea and Vietnam war was more due to cold war and not due to attack on US soil.
Ukraine is no proxy war, those are Russian troops. Iran is pulling a proxy war using Lebanon and the various funded groups who carry out attacks on Israel. Iran grabbed that one from ol' uncle sams playbook.
Ukraine is a proxy for America and Europe in the fight against Russia. And both of them are not for ending the war quickly. There is much more they can do.
I'm scared for all the citizens involved in this. I really hope this will end soon, but I don't think it will...
Am I the only one who thinks of this as a political play between Israel and Iran?
When Israel hits a target, I don't hear about it till I see the damages and the casualties.
When Iran tries to hit a target, I hear about it several hours when it's in the air and it still did not hit anything, and the next day I hear that every country around Israel had shot some of the missiles fired, and Israel themselves shot down the rest.
It feels like Iran just wants to demonstrate that they have the expertise to shoot missiles, without actually shooting anything that can cause a real damage.
Wait, you mean you don't telegraph your "surprise attack" a day in advance to everyone?
If they have fired hundreds of missiles, it's clearly an attempt to overwhelm Israeli air defense.
Of course assuming the reporting we receive is true.
According to this article:
(They reference IDF, so they might be wrong, but assuming they are correct)
Iran shot 180 missiles, and Israel intercepted most of them.
So far, there is official information about two injured citizens in Tel Aviv.
I don't think this attack was significant in any means.
180 missiles is A LOT. It takes a very strong air defense to resist that.
It's bigger than the biggest Russian missile attack on Ukraine! Where an attack by Russia with 158 missiles and drones combined caused 31 dead:
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-launches-massive-air-attack-ukraine-least-10-dead-kyiv-2023-12-29/
31 dead and drones are way easier to shoot down than missiles.
This looks to me like a very serious attempt by Iran to penetrate Israeli air defenses.
A successful attempt, too. There's videos of multiple missiles making it through, though fortunately they seem mostly to have landed in large outdoor spaces.
I don't know if we know if the missiles were proper guided missiles, or just dumb MLRS-style unguided rockets. I'd imagine it's both, but that's the important factor in if Iran was just flexing their capability while minimizing damage, or if this was a serious attack.
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