this post was submitted on 05 Oct 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 2 months ago

How weird would it be for the Dems to lose Michigan and win Florida and Texas?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 months ago

The poll in the article was in the field before the storm(s) but no Florida poll will be reliable for the foreseeable future. Half of the Tampa-St. Pete region is going to be evacuating this week should the Hurricane Milton develop according to forecasts. Parts of the state are dealing with Helene.

Voting isn’t even going to be predictable, much less polling. Committed voters will do anything to vote but a lot of people are detached from politics and are going to be busy with home repairs, insurance companies, or just not coming back.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Maybe hurricane Martin will remove numerous Republicans from the voter rolls. They are stupid enough to ignore storm warnings.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 months ago

Republicans do tend to inhabit the northern sections of Florida more than the south.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 months ago

We can totally blame this on old pudding fingers

[–] [email protected] 16 points 2 months ago (1 children)

"Nearing toss-up status" aka Trump is still winning above the margin for error. Most likely if Harris wins FL it would be after winning PA, MI, WI, NC, GA, AZ, and thus easily the election.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 months ago

The leads in some of the latest Florida polls are now within margin of error of those polls

[–] [email protected] 51 points 2 months ago

I know I'm one "not team fascist" vote in Florida that wasn't there for the last election. So there's that.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 2 months ago (1 children)

She needs to focus primarily on blue wall and secondarily on sun belt. FL should be an afterthought, at best.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

They are primarily focusing on the main swing states for president, but Florida does matter a good amount in terms of the senate though. It's a rarer somewhat close pickup opportunity. With Montana not looking as great lately we'll likely need to flip either Texas senate or Florida senate to keep the senate control. Or there's the close race in Nebraska where Indepdent Osborn could give us a 49-49-1 senate if neither flip and we lose Montana

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 months ago

You’re on top of the Senate races. Good job!

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